Bluefield, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

681
FXUS61 KRNK 041448
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1048 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Above normal temperatures continue today. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon. Warm above normal
temperatures continue into the weekend with an increasing chance
of thunderstorms as well. A front will pass across the region
on Sunday, with much a cooler airmass arriving for next week.
Sub freezing temperatures continuing to look more likely on
Tuesday and Wednesday mornings.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1045 AM EDT Friday...

Temperatures were left alone this morning as trends in
temperatures across the area seem to be on track. Record high
temperatures will still be possible for portions of the area as
highs reach the low to mid 80s. PoPs were adjusted to to account
for the ongoing showers and thunderstorms currently being
observed across SE West Virginia this morning, and for the
potential for isolated showers/thunderstorms this afternoon
along the southern periphery of the stationary boundary that
is currently in place across the area.


Previous Discussion:

1) Above normal temperatures continue today.

2) Isolated showers and thunderstorms possible through this
evening.

Tranquil weather over the area this morning as a ridge over the
southeast continues to strengthen. Persistent thunderstorms
remain to the west along the periphery of the building ridge.

Ongoing heavy downpours and embedded thunderstorms across West
Virginia and Kentucky may approach the area by daybreak, but
should be in weakened state when they arrive. Portions of
southeast West Virginia from Bluefield to Lewisburg have the
highest confidence of seeing rain later this morning.

Ample cloud cover from storms to the west will keep skies
mostly cloudy through the morning hours, however could have some
breaks in clouds by the afternoon. This will result in
temperatures quickly warming into the 80s. Modest instability in
the afternoon may allow for isolated thunderstorms to develop
across the mountains. Severe storms are not expected.

Some guidance is hinting at a backdoor front dropping southwest
across the Virginia Piedmont tonight, bringing in low clouds and
cooler northeast winds. Have kept the mention of showers in the
forecast through tonight associated with this front over the
Piedmont.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 315 AM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

1) Near record highs possible on Saturday.

2) A cold front brings widespread rainfall to the area on Sunday
into Monday.

Saturday looks to remain mostly dry across the entire RNK CWA,
though a stray shower cannot be ruled out, mainly in WV. Dry air
from the south along with the high pressure ridge holding in place
will push the warm front back north, leaving our area quiet with
mostly sunny skies. The southerly flow will cause temperatures to
threaten some record highs, even pushing 90 degrees in the Piedmont
once again. Quiet weather continues for Saturday night, with little
to no precipitation expected outside of a slight chance in the WV
counties.

The frontal boundary that has been stalled off to our west will
finally begin to work eastward Sunday morning. The timing of the
front has been pushed back some, with precipitation now not expected
to start until near midday Sunday for the western counties. The
front is also expected to move through slower, which will keep
showers and storms across the area through the day, and lingering
through the night into Monday morning. Severe weather is still not
currently forecast, though this will be closely monitored,
especially with the timing of the front now expected to move through
in the afternoon hours. Forecast soundings now show marginal CAPE
values, along with enough shear and precipitable water available for
severe weather to be possible, mostly out in the Piedmont. Showers
and storms continue into Sunday evening/night, until the system
moves further east by mid-morning Monday. A few stray showers may
continue into Monday afternoon, particularly in NC where the front
lingers.

Temperatures remain well above normal on Saturday, with highs
ranging from the upper 70s to upper 80s, with Piedmont locations
approaching 90 potentially. Sunday will see cooler temperatures to
the west, where rain will keep highs in the 60s to around 70, while
the Piedmont will reach upper 70s to low 80s with more time before
rain moves in. By Monday, highs fall into the 50s/60s behind the
front. Lows will be mild Sunday morning ahead of the front, in the
60s area-wide. Monday morning lows will be cooler, in the 40s/50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 315 AM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

1) Western Greenbrier County in WV could see light snow showers
Monday night.

2) Much cooler, below average temperatures expected next week.

3) Quiet weather returns Tuesday until the next system arrives late
next week.

A fast moving clipper system will swing down across the Great Lakes
Monday night, with a secondary cold front moving through the area.
Little moisture will be associated with it, but Western Greenbrier
County in WV could see a quick burst of snow aided by northwest
upslope flow. Little to no accumulation is expected with warm ground
temperatures. The system and front clear out by Tuesday morning,
with high pressure building in from the west. The high will move
over top of the Mid-Atlantic region midweek, keeping quiet and cool
weather in place. By Thursday, another system is expected to develop
in the Great Plains and move into the area late week, bringing the
next best chance for rainfall across the area. Exact timing remains
uncertain, as the GFS has the system moving in late Thursday, while
the ECMWF holds it off until Friday.

Below-average temperatures will remain in place for most of next
week, with 40s/50s for highs on Tuesday rebounding to only slightly
below normal, in the 50s/60s the rest of the period. Lows will also
be below normal, in the 20s/30s most of the week, with 30s/40s by
Friday morning. The coldest wind chills are expected Tuesday
morning, as 20-25 mph gusts will cause wind chills in the teens for
the higher elevations. The coldest overall morning will be Wednesday
morning, with widespread 20s, though light winds will diminish the
wind chill threat.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 645 AM EDT Friday...

A mix of VFR and MVFR this morning. Should see improvements
back to VFR later this morning.

Rain generally stays west of the area along a frontal boundary.
Some remnants of the rain/storms to the west could approach
BLF/LWB around daybreak. Afternoon heating may also allow for
additional chances of isolated storms after 18z/2pm, mainly
across the mountains.

Winds remains out of the southwest. Light this morning, but
gusting near 15kts at times through the daylight hours.

Low clouds associated with a marine layer entering into central
Virginia towards the of the valid TAF period are possible. This
would result in sub VFR tonight.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

A frontal boundary will keep chances of showers and
thunderstorms present into the upcoming weekend. Otherwise,
conditions should stay mostly VFR outside of any afternoon
convection or any increase in moisture at night that could
produce a layer of low clouds. A cold front may arrive by late
Sunday into Sunday night to provide sub-VFR conditions and a
more widespread chance of showers and thunderstorms. MVFR
ceilings might linger into Monday across the mountains, while a
gusty northwest wind returns.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Warmest low temperatures are on track to possibly be broken
today across the area. New forecast highs now keep temperatures
a degree or two below record highs for today. However, low
minimum temperature could be broken tonight as WAA is forecast
to continue through the overnight hours keeping temperatures
well above the average for this time of the year, with lows in
the low to mid 60s forecast areawide.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...BMG
NEAR TERM...BMG/EB
SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...JCB
AVIATION...BMG
CLIMATE...